The MCT Review: Market Commentary Week of March 7

The MCT Review: Market Commentary Week of March 7

FNCL 3.0s opened the day at 101-03, hit a high of 101-12+ just prior to 12 noon, and then we drifted lower in the afternoon to close at 101-04. We saw some intraday reprices for the better in the late morning and then some in the other direction later in the afternoon. We are now about 6 ticks lower vs. the Friday close of 101-04 but do not expect much from TBA hedge flows today. March issuance is about ~2.0bln behind the pace of February when you compare the first four business day of March to those of February. The big drop occurred in February and I would now expect the attrition to be a few billion/month.

The MCT Review: Market Commentary Week of March 7

The MCT Review: Market Commentary Week of February 22

We’ve seen lighter supply thanks to the Russia/Ukraine headlines. The market has ultimately gained ground with FNCL 3.0s starting at 100-06+ and closing at 100-15. We did see some negative reprices, then the Russia/Ukraine headlines moved the bond market higher into lower yields and that brought better reprices. We currently have FNCL 3.0s at a lower closing level so don’t expect much.

Treasury and Mortgage Rates Perspective, August 2019

Treasury and Mortgage Rates Perspective, August 2019

Treasury yield plummeted at the beginning of August after a confusing post-meeting press conference by Fed Chairman Powell was followed by an escalation in the trade dispute between the U.S. and China. This white paper will provide some context to the recent drop in Treasury and mortgage rates.