FNCL 3.0s opened the day at 101-03, hit a high of 101-12+ just prior to 12 noon, and then we drifted lower in the afternoon to close at 101-04. We saw some intraday reprices for the better in the late morning and then some in the other direction later in the afternoon. We are now about 6 ticks lower vs. the Friday close of 101-04 but do not expect much from TBA hedge flows today. March issuance is about ~2.0bln behind the pace of February when you compare the first four business day of March to those of February. The big drop occurred in February and I would now expect the attrition to be a few billion/month.
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We’ve seen lighter supply thanks to the Russia/Ukraine headlines. The market has ultimately gained ground with FNCL 3.0s starting at 100-06+ and closing at 100-15. We did see some negative reprices, then the Russia/Ukraine headlines moved the bond market higher into lower yields and that brought better reprices. We currently have FNCL 3.0s at a lower closing level so don’t expect much.
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